FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen

Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:30 Bundesliga

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1057 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

FSV Mainz 05 30% Draw 26% Bayer Leverkusen 44%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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Neck and neck in the Bundesliga standings. FSV Mainz 05 (6th, 7 pts) host Bayer Leverkusen (5th, 7 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.

Marginal call: the model leans Bayer Leverkusen but not to an outright win, and the draw is live, so it backs the safer call below. Its number on that call sits in the call box, with the desk's verdict beside it.

The model says

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The call on this game BTTS: Yes
The best price 1.40William Hill

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.40

The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
FSV Mainz 05 win 30% 2.70 37%
Draw 26% 3.70 27%
Bayer Leverkusen win 44% 2.35 43%
FSV Mainz 05 or draw 63% 1.57 64%
Bayer Leverkusen or draw 67% 1.50 67%
Either side to win, no draw 1.28 78%
Over 2.5 goals 68% 1.50 67%
Both teams to score 71% 1.40 71%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

14 markets
FSV Mainz 05 over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.18
FSV Mainz 05 under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Over 0.5 first half goals Bet365 1.25
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.22
FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer Leverkusen (double chance) Bet365 1.28
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Bayer Leverkusen under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Bayer Leverkusen over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.25
Under 2 first half goals Marathon Bet 1.28
Under 2.5 second half goals William Hill 1.35
Under 4 goals Pinnacle 1.39
Both teams to score: Yes William Hill 1.40
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw (double chance) Bet365 1.50
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.50

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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