FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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FC Cincinnati have won three of their last five; Charlotte have taken 8 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this MLS tie.
Evander has been FC Cincinnati's spearhead, with 12 goals and 8 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 1.60 shots on target per game. Pep Biel has been Charlotte's main threat, with 10 goals and 5 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 0.90 shots on target per game.
FC Cincinnati's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
FC Cincinnati create chances worth 1.4 a game (and give up chances worth 1.9), leaving them -0.6 a game on the balance. Charlotte create 1.1 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of -0.6. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. A worry for FC Cincinnati: the chances they're creating lately are worth 1.0 a game, well below their 1.4 season figure. The attacking output has dipped.
FC Cincinnati average 1.4 goals per game and Charlotte manage 1.7. Combined that's just 3.1. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
In the last 6 meetings: FC Cincinnati have won 3, Charlotte 2, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 3.0 goals per game. 3 of the last 6 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: FC Cincinnati 2-0 Charlotte Independence, Charlotte Independence 4-1 FC Cincinnati, Charlotte Independence 0-1 FC Cincinnati.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | FC Cincinnati Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Charlotte Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.