Match Stats
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners
53% (model)
Corners: Falkirk avg 4.2 for/5.0 against, Heart of Midlothian avg 6.3 for/4.3 against → expected 9.9 match corners
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Over 4.5 Match Cards
54% (model)
Cards: Falkirk avg 2.4/game, Heart of Midlothian avg 2.5/game → expected 4.9 match cards
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls
71% (model)
Fouls: Falkirk avg 14.8/game, Heart of Midlothian avg 12.7/game → expected 27.5 match fouls
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Over 26.5 Match Shots
49% (model)
Shots: Falkirk avg 8.6/game, Heart of Midlothian avg 18.0/game → expected 26.6 match shots
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
Falkirk Host Heart of Midlothian: Our Prediction
The model makes Heart of Midlothian 48% favourites here. Falkirk carry the 24% upset.
Falkirk (6th, 46 pts) host Heart of Midlothian (1st, 70 pts) in the Scottish Premiership. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Key facts
✈
Strong Travellers
Heart of Midlothian win 47% of their away games (W9 from 19). Dangerous visitors
📊
H2H Favours Away
Heart of Midlothian have won 7 of the last 10 encounters. They have a psychological edge
⚖
Quality Gap
Heart of Midlothian's GD of +33 dwarfs Falkirk's -12. The visitors are a level above
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 75% of Heart of Midlothian's matches this season
▸ Form & goals
Falkirk will be looking to make home advantage count (W7 D5 L8 at home). Heart of Midlothian's away record reads W9 D4 L6. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Falkirk are scoring 1.3 a game (1.7 of those at home) and Heart of Midlothian manage 1.8 (1.6 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 52%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.
▸ Team news & context
Promotion is on the line. Falkirk (6th) and Heart of Midlothian (1st) are both in the playoff places. This could determine who goes up.
Heart of Midlothian are similarly well-balanced. 1.8 scored, 0.9 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides.
In the last 10 meetings: Falkirk have won 2, Heart of Midlothian 7, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.6 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Heart of Midlothian 3-0 Falkirk, Heart of Midlothian 1-0 Falkirk, Heart of Midlothian 1-1 Falkirk.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
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Falkirk HT
3.90
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Draw HT
2.25
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Heart of Midlothian HT
2.50
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Falkirk Win |
@3.50
|
23.5% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.25
|
26.2% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Heart of Midlothian Win |
@2.05
|
48.2% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.70
|
50.5% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.05
|
49.5% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.82
|
51.5% |
BetVictor |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@1.95
|
48.5% |
BetVictor |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.25
|
- |
BetVictor |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@3.70
|
- |
BetVictor |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@3.25
|
- |
BetVictor |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.37
|
- |
BetVictor |
05The numbers
Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian Team Stats
Falkirk
Position
6
Played
38
Record
14W-7D-17L
Goals F/A
50/62
Avg Goals Scored
1.30
Points
46
Overall Form
LDLLL
Home Form
LLLW
Home Record
7W-5D-8L
Heart of Midlothian
Position
1
Played
38
Record
24W-8D-6L
Goals F/A
67/34
Avg Goals Scored
1.80
Points
70
Overall Form
WWLLW
Away Form
LLDW
Away Record
9W-4D-6L
Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian Head to Head
2 Home Wins
1 Draws
7 Away Wins
2.6
Avg Goals
2/10
BTTS
5/10
Over 2.5
2026-05-13
Falkirk 0-3 Heart Of Midlothian
2026-02-21
Falkirk 0-1 Heart Of Midlothian
2026-01-17
Falkirk 1-1 Heart Of Midlothian
2025-12-13
Falkirk 0-2 Heart Of Midlothian
2025-09-27
Falkirk 0-3 Heart Of Midlothian
2024-08-17
Falkirk 2-0 Heart Of Midlothian
2021-07-03
Falkirk 0-4 Heart Of Midlothian
2020-02-08
Falkirk 0-1 Heart Of Midlothian
2015-03-21
Falkirk 0-3 Heart Of Midlothian
2015-01-24
Falkirk 3-2 Heart Of Midlothian
Full Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
5.0%
2-3
3.0%
1-4
2.3%
0-4
2.1%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 goals
85%
@1.22
Unibet
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
83%
@1.24
Betano
-
Over 7.5 corners
81%
@1.23
Unibet
-
Over 1.5 goals
81%
@1.30
Betano
-
Falkirk or Heart of Midlothian (double chance)
80%
@1.30
William Hill
-
Heart of Midlothian or Draw (double chance)
80%
@1.36
Marathon Bet
-
Heart of Midlothian under 2 goals
79%
@1.32
1xBet
-
Under 12.5 corners
79%
@1.26
Unibet
-
Under 2 second half goals
78%
@1.29
Marathon Bet
-
Falkirk under 6.5 corners
78%
@1.29
Unibet
-
Under 3.5 goals
77%
@1.37
Betano
-
Falkirk over 0.5 goals
76%
@1.42
Betano
Build a slip from these markets →