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Everton have taken 7 points from their last five; Wolves are unbeaten in their last six. The visitors bring the sharper form into this EFL Cup tie.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Everton create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.3 a game on the balance. Wolves create 1.1 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of -0.5. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Everton average 1.8 goals per game and Wolves manage 2.5. Combined that's just 4.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Wolves are similarly well-balanced. 2.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides.
In the last 10 meetings: Everton have won 2, Wolves 5, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 2.5 goals per game. 4 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Everton 1-1 Wolves, Wolves 2-0 Everton, Wolves 2-3 Everton.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Everton Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Wolves Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Everton vs Wolves kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 15:00 in the EFL Cup.