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The model makes Hibernian 49% favourites here. Dundee carry the 22% upset.
Dundee (9th, 33 pts) host Hibernian (5th, 51 pts) in the Scottish Premiership. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Dundee come in on a W-W-L-W-L run, Hibernian have gone W-L-L-W-W, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Dundee's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Dundee are scoring 1.1 a game (1.6 of those at home) and Hibernian manage 1.5 (1.4 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 51%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 50%.
In the last 10 meetings: Dundee have won 2, Hibernian 5, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 3.4 goals per game. 8 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Dundee 3-3 Hibernian, Hibernian 2-0 Dundee, Dundee 1-2 Hibernian.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Dundee Win | @3.39 | 22.3% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.50 | 27.1% | Betano |
| Match Result | Hibernian Win | @2.18 | 48.9% | Betano |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.71 | 49.9% | 1xBet |
| BTTS | No | @2.12 | 50.1% | 1xBet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.88 | 50.7% | Betano |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.98 | 49.3% | Betano |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.29 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.65 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.15 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.39 | - | Betano |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Hibernian the favourite with a 48.9% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Dundee @ 3.39, Draw @ 3.50, Hibernian @ 2.18. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Dundee vs Hibernian kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Scottish Premiership.