Player Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
E
Evander
1+ Shots on Target
83% (model)
Evander averages 1.60 SoT/match (20 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
K
K. Denkey
1+ Shots on Target
65% (model)
K. Denkey averages 0.95 SoT/match (20 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
L
L. Munteanu
1+ Shots on Target
63% (model)
L. Munteanu averages 1.12 SoT/match (17 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
E
Evander
Anytime Scorer
61% (model)
Evander on 0.60 goals/match (20 apps), home vs opp conceding 1.90 goals/game
T
T. Baribo
Anytime Scorer
60% (model)
T. Baribo on 0.71 goals/match (17 apps), away vs opp conceding 1.90 goals/game
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
FC Cincinnati vs DC United: Match Preview & Prediction
FC Cincinnati 62%, the draw 18%, DC United 18%. That's the shape of this one.
FC Cincinnati have won three of their last five; DC United have lost their last two. The momentum is with the hosts going into this MLS tie.
Evander has been FC Cincinnati's spearhead, with 12 goals and 8 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 1.60 shots on target per game. T. Baribo has been DC United's main threat, with 12 goals and 0 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 1.00 shots on target per game.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickFC Cincinnati to win at @1.44. Model probability 62% vs implied 69%. The market is 7pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key men
E
Evander
FC Cincinnati · Midfielder
12 goals · 8 assists in 20 apps
1.6 shots on target a game
T
T. Baribo
DC United · Attacker
12 goals in 17 apps
1.0 shots on target a game
Key facts
🚫
Poor Away Form
DC United have won just 3 of 17 on the road. Travelling support won't expect much
📉
Cold Run
DC United have lost their last 2. Confidence in that dressing room will be low
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 93% of FC Cincinnati's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
▸ Form & goals
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. FC Cincinnati come in on a W-D-W-L-W run, DC United have gone L-L-D-D-W-D, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. FC Cincinnati's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. A concern for DC United: they're giving up chances worth 1.7 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.3 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
FC Cincinnati create chances worth 1.4 a game (and give up chances worth 1.9), leaving them -0.6 a game on the balance. DC United create 1.1 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of -0.2. On the quality of chances, DC United look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. A worry for FC Cincinnati: the chances they're creating lately are worth 1.0 a game, well below their 1.4 season figure. The attacking output has dipped. DC United's defence is giving up chances. Worth 1.7 a game over their last 5 vs 1.3 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
FC Cincinnati average 1.4 goals per game and DC United manage 0.9. Combined that's just 2.3. Even so, we make it 71% for three or more. The model sees more goals here than the season averages suggest. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 58%. A word of caution on the chances: even though the goals numbers point up, the combined chance quality is only worth 2.5 a game. These sides aren't creating as much as their goal tallies suggest. Hot finishing has flattered the numbers.
▸ Team news & context
In the last 10 meetings: FC Cincinnati have won 4, DC United 4, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.9 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: FC Cincinnati 1-2 DC United, DC United 0-1 FC Cincinnati, DC United 2-3 FC Cincinnati.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
FC Cincinnati HT
1.85
-
Draw HT
2.75
-
DC United HT
4.80
Top Anytime Scorers
-
Evander
61%
-
T. Baribo
60%
Latest News
Loading latest news...
Team Intel
📊 FC Cincinnati · xG
For: 1.36/g
Against: 1.91/g
📊 DC United · xG
For: 1.13/g
Against: 1.32/g
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
FC Cincinnati vs DC United Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
FC Cincinnati Win |
@1.44
|
62.4% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@4.80
|
18.2% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
DC United Win |
@5.00
|
17.5% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.50
|
58.0% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.45
|
42.0% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.36
|
70.7% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@3.30
|
29.3% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.10
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@7.50
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@1.83
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.93
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
FC Cincinnati vs DC United Team Stats
FC Cincinnati
Played
38
Record
22W-5D-11L
Goals F/A
55/49
Avg Goals Scored
1.40
Overall Form
WDWLW
Home Form
WWWWL
Home Record
11W-3D-6L
DC United
Played
34
Record
5W-11D-18L
Goals F/A
30/66
Avg Goals Scored
0.90
Overall Form
LLDDWD
Away Record
3W-4D-10L
FC Cincinnati vs DC United Head to Head
4 Home Wins
2 Draws
4 Away Wins
2.9
Avg Goals
5/10
BTTS
6/10
Over 2.5
2025-05-31
FC Cincinnati 1-2 DC United
2025-04-12
FC Cincinnati 1-0 DC United
2024-07-03
FC Cincinnati 3-2 DC United
2024-03-10
FC Cincinnati 0-0 DC United
2023-06-24
FC Cincinnati 0-3 DC United
2023-05-06
FC Cincinnati 2-1 DC United
2022-10-09
FC Cincinnati 5-2 DC United
2022-03-05
FC Cincinnati 0-1 DC United
2021-09-25
FC Cincinnati 2-4 DC United
2021-07-31
FC Cincinnati 0-0 DC United
Full FC Cincinnati vs DC United head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
2-1
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
4-0
2.0%
4-2
1.2%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Under 2.5 first half goals
84%
@1.25
10Bet
-
FC Cincinnati under 3.5 goals
82%
@1.27
Betano
-
Over 2.5 goals
76%
@1.37
Betano
-
Under 4.5 goals
75%
@1.40
Betano
-
FC Cincinnati over 1.5 goals
75%
@1.35
Betano
-
DC United over 0.5 goals
75%
@1.37
Betano
-
Under 2 first half goals
75%
@1.36
BetVictor
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
74%
@1.50
Betano
-
DC United under 1.5 goals
71%
@1.44
10Bet
-
FC Cincinnati to win
69%
@1.50
Betano
-
Both teams to score: Yes
69%
@1.50
William Hill
-
Over 3 goals
68%
@1.55
Betano
Build a slip from these markets →