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Charlton have won three straight; QPR are unbeaten in their last six. Form gives little away going into this Championship tie.
Both sides are prolific in front of goal. Charlton average 2.0 per game and QPR chip in with 2.8. Expect an open, attacking contest. A concern for QPR: they're giving up chances worth 1.7 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.3 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Charlton create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.4 a game on the balance. QPR create 1.3 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of -0.1. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. QPR's defence is giving up chances. Worth 1.7 a game over their last 5 vs 1.3 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Charlton average 2.0 goals per game and QPR manage 2.8. Combined that's just 4.8. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both teams score in 52% of Charlton's home games and 67% of QPR's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Charlton are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at QPR, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. QPR have goals in them (2.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 9 meetings: Charlton have won 3, QPR 3, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 2.0 goals per game. 3 of the last 9 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Charlton 0-0 QPR, QPR 3-1 Charlton, Charlton 1-1 QPR.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Charlton Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | QPR Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Charlton vs QPR kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 20:00 in the Championship.