Charlton vs Preston Predictions & Odds
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A quality mismatch? Charlton (2nd, 6 pts) entertain Preston (23rd, 0 pts). The table positions tell a clear story, but football has a habit of humbling the favourites.
Charlton's home record this season is formidable. W1 D0 L0 from 1, scoring 2.0 goals per game at home. Preston, by contrast, have struggled on the road (W0 D0 L1 from 1 away). That imbalance is hard to ignore. Preston are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.3 against 0.5 actual goals). They look due a few more.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Charlton create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.4 a game on the balance. Preston create 1.3 (giving up 1.8) for a balance of -0.5. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Preston are creating chances worth 1.3 a game but only finishing 0.5. the underlying performance is better than the results show.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Charlton are scoring 2.0 a game (2.0 of those at home) and Preston manage 0.5 (1.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 54%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.
Both teams score in 52% of Charlton's home games and 61% of Preston's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Preston travel here with relegation breathing down their neck. At 23rd, they can't afford to drop many more points.
Charlton are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Preston, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 10 meetings: Charlton have won 1, Preston 8, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 3.1 goals per game. 7 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Charlton 1-2 Preston, Preston 2-0 Charlton, Preston 2-1 Charlton.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Charlton Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Preston Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Charlton vs Preston kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 50.6% probability.