Bristol City vs Portsmouth Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Bristol City have lost three of their last five; Portsmouth have taken 7 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this Championship tie.
Portsmouth could be in for a similar cool-off. 1.4 goals a game against chance quality worth only 0.9. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Bristol City create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.7), leaving them -0.6 a game on the balance. Portsmouth create 0.9 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.6. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Portsmouth are also scoring more than their chances suggest (1.4 goals vs chance quality of 0.9). Both runs could cool off at once.
Bristol City average 1.4 goals per game and Portsmouth manage 1.4. Combined that's just 2.8. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 39% of Bristol City's home games and 61% of Portsmouth's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Bristol City Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Portsmouth Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Bristol City vs Portsmouth kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.