Player Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
J
J. Calleri
1+ Shots on Target
49% (model)
J. Calleri averages 0.75 SoT/match (20 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
L
Luciano
1+ Shots on Target
45% (model)
Luciano averages 0.67 SoT/match (18 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
E
E. Díaz
To Be Carded
45% (model)
E. Díaz (Defender) on 0.54 yellows/match (13 apps), pos-mult 1.10
Y
Y. Bolasie
1+ Shots on Target
44% (model)
Y. Bolasie averages 0.53 SoT/match (17 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
F
Ferreira
1+ Shots on Target
38% (model)
Ferreira averages 0.53 SoT/match (17 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
Chapecoense vs Sao Paulo: Match Preview & Prediction
Chapecoense 23%, the draw 27%, Sao Paulo 49%. That's the shape of this one.
Chapecoense are winless in their last five; Sao Paulo are winless in their last five. Neither side arrives in rhythm for this Brasileirão Série A tie.
Marcinho has been Chapecoense's spearhead, with 3 goals and 1 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 0.38 shots on target per game. J. Calleri has been Sao Paulo's main threat, with 7 goals and 1 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 0.75 shots on target per game.
Key men
M
Marcinho
Chapecoense · Attacker
3 goals · 1 assist in 21 apps
0.4 shots on target a game
J
J. Calleri
Sao Paulo · Attacker
7 goals · 1 assist in 20 apps
0.8 shots on target a game
Key facts
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 67% of Chapecoense's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
▸ Form & goals
Chapecoense average 1.0 goals per game and Sao Paulo manage 1.1. Combined that's just 2.1. We make it 48% for three or more, so there's no strong lean on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 47%.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Chapecoense HT
3.90
-
Draw HT
2.10
-
Sao Paulo HT
2.60
Latest News
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Team Intel
📊 Sao Paulo · xG
For: 0.87/g
Against: 1.78/g
⚠️ Outscoring xG by 0.33/g, possibly running hot
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Chapecoense vs Sao Paulo Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Chapecoense Win |
@3.50
|
22.5% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.10
|
26.6% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Sao Paulo Win |
@2.05
|
48.9% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.83
|
47.3% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@1.91
|
52.7% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@2.05
|
47.9% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@1.83
|
52.1% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.33
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@3.45
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@3.75
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.30
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Chapecoense vs Sao Paulo Team Stats
Chapecoense
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Sao Paulo
Position
8
Played
38
Record
14W-9D-15L
Goals F/A
43/47
Avg Goals Scored
1.10
Points
51
Overall Form
DLDDL
Away Form
LDLLL
Away Record
4W-5D-10L
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
0-1
11.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
4.4%
2-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
0-4
1.7%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game fold one leg per market, live prices
-
Under 3.5 goals
Smart
82%
@1.30
Betano
-
Over 7.5 corners
Smart
83%
@1.21
Unibet
-
Jonathan Calleri 1+ shots on target
77%
@1.30
Bet365
-
Luciano Neves 1+ shots on target
71%
@1.40
Bet365
-
Tete dos Santos 1+ shots on target
69%
@1.44
Bet365
Combined 4.12
· £5 returns
£20.61
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
83%
@1.29
888Sport
-
Marcinho Antonio 2+ shots
83%
@1.20
Bet365
-
Tiago Rodrigo 1+ shots
83%
@1.20
Bet365
-
Sao Paulo over 0.5 goals
83%
@1.25
Bet365
-
Under 2 second half goals
83%
@1.21
Marathon Bet
-
Over 7.5 corners
83%
@1.21
Unibet
-
Chapecoense under 6.5 corners
83%
@1.21
Unibet
-
Sao Paulo under 7.5 corners
83%
@1.21
Unibet
-
Under 3.5 goals
82%
@1.30
Betano
-
Under 12.5 corners
81%
@1.26
Unibet
-
Chapecoense or Sao Paulo (double chance)
80%
@1.33
Bet365
-
Sao Paulo or Draw (double chance)
80%
@1.30
Bet365
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