Cruzeiro vs Flamengo Predictions & Odds
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
The key duel: Flamengo's attack against Cruzeiro's back line.
Neck and neck in the Brasileirão Série A standings. Cruzeiro (3rd, 70 pts) host Flamengo (1st, 79 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Cruzeiro will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Flamengo travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Cruzeiro will be looking to make home advantage count (W13 D4 L2 at home). Flamengo's away record reads W9 D5 L5. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. The gap in chance quality is clear: Flamengo come out at +1.1 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to +0.2. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Cruzeiro create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.0), leaving them +0.2 a game on the balance. Flamengo create 2.2 (giving up 1.0) for a balance of +1.1. On the quality of chances, Flamengo look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Cruzeiro average 1.4 goals per game and Flamengo manage 2.1. Combined that's just 3.5. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Cruzeiro and Flamengo together create chances worth 3.3 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
The stakes are high for Cruzeiro at this stage of the season. Their fans will expect a performance, and the home support will be vocal in driving them on. Flamengo face a tough afternoon.
A result here could reshape the title picture. Flamengo (1st) visit Cruzeiro (3rd) knowing anything less than a win could see them slip.
Cruzeiro do it the hard way: only 1.4 a game up top, but a mean 0.8 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. Flamengo are similarly well-balanced. 2.1 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides. Both sides keep clean sheets regularly. This could be a tight, low-block affair where the first goal is decisive.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%) and 0-1 (12%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Cruzeiro Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Flamengo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:30 in the Brasileirão Série A.