Player Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
K
K. Viveros
1+ Shots on Target
76% (model)
K. Viveros averages 1.59 SoT/match (22 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
A
Arthur Cabral
1+ Shots on Target
72% (model)
Arthur Cabral averages 1.16 SoT/match (19 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
M
Matheus Martins
1+ Shots on Target
65% (model)
Matheus Martins averages 0.95 SoT/match (20 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
A
A. Barboza
1+ Shots on Target
47% (model)
A. Barboza averages 0.58 SoT/match (12 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
K
K. Viveros
2+ Shots on Target
42% (model)
K. Viveros averages 1.59 SoT/match (22 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
Botafogo Host Atletico Paranaense: Our Prediction
The model makes Atletico Paranaense 44% favourites here. Botafogo carry the 37% upset.
Botafogo have taken six points from their last five; Atletico Paranaense have won three of their last six. Form gives little away going into this Brasileirão Série A tie.
Arthur Cabral has been Botafogo's spearhead, with 7 goals and 1 assists in 19 appearances, averaging 1.16 shots on target per game. K. Viveros has been Atletico Paranaense's main threat, with 14 goals and 3 assists in 22 appearances, averaging 1.59 shots on target per game.
Key men
A
Arthur Cabral
Botafogo · Attacker
7 goals · 1 assist in 19 apps
1.2 shots on target a game
K
K. Viveros
Atletico Paranaense · Attacker
14 goals · 3 assists in 22 apps
1.6 shots on target a game
Key facts
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 67% of Botafogo's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
▸ Form & goals
Goals are a tough one to call here. Botafogo are scoring 1.5 a game (2.1 of those at home) and Atletico Paranaense manage 1.2 (1.2 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 49%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 48%.
▸ Team news & context
Atletico Paranaense prefer to keep things tight (0.8 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Botafogo against this setup.
In the last 10 meetings: Botafogo have won 3, Atletico Paranaense 5, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.4 goals per game. 3 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Atletico Paranaense 4-1 Botafogo, Atletico Paranaense 0-1 Botafogo, Botafogo 1-1 Atletico Paranaense.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Botafogo HT
2.62
-
Draw HT
2.10
-
Atletico Paranaense HT
3.80
Latest News
Loading latest news...
Team Intel
📊 Botafogo · xG
For: 1.57/g
Against: 1.28/g
⚠️ Outscoring xG by 0.53/g, possibly running hot
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Botafogo Win |
@2.25
|
36.5% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.10
|
25.1% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Atletico Paranaense Win |
@3.10
|
44.0% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.83
|
48.4% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@1.91
|
51.6% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@2.05
|
48.6% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@1.81
|
51.4% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.33
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@3.49
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@3.75
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.31
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense Team Stats
Botafogo
Position
6
Played
38
Record
17W-12D-9L
Goals F/A
58/38
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
Points
63
Overall Form
LDDWD
Home Form
DDDWW
Home Record
11W-5D-3L
Atletico Paranaense
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense Head to Head
3 Home Wins
2 Draws
5 Away Wins
2.4
Avg Goals
4/10
BTTS
3/10
Over 2.5
2026-03-29
Botafogo 1-4 Atletico Paranaense
2024-10-05
Botafogo 1-0 Atletico Paranaense
2024-06-19
Botafogo 1-1 Atletico Paranaense
2023-10-22
Botafogo 1-1 Atletico Paranaense
2023-06-03
Botafogo 0-1 Atletico Paranaense
2023-06-01
Botafogo 1-0 Atletico Paranaense
2023-05-18
Botafogo 2-3 Atletico Paranaense
2022-11-13
Botafogo 0-3 Atletico Paranaense
2022-07-24
Botafogo 2-0 Atletico Paranaense
2021-01-06
Botafogo 0-2 Atletico Paranaense
Full Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.3%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
6.2%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game fold one leg per market, live prices
-
Under 3.5 goals
Smart
80%
@1.31
Pinnacle
-
Over 7.5 corners
Smart
85%
@1.26
Unibet
-
Under 7.5 cards
78%
@1.28
Unibet
-
Danilo Pereira 1+ shots on target
75%
@1.33
Bet365
-
Kevin Viveros 1+ shots on target
74%
@1.36
Bet365
Combined 3.82
· £5 returns
£19.11
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Lucas Esquivel 1+ shots
85%
@1.18
Bet365
-
Luiz Gustavo 1+ shots
85%
@1.18
Bet365
-
Over 7.5 corners
85%
@1.26
Unibet
-
Atletico Paranaense under 6.5 corners
85%
@1.22
Superbet
-
Under 12.5 corners
84%
@1.31
Superbet
-
Botafogo under 7.5 corners
84%
@1.27
Superbet
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
83%
@1.27
Betano
-
Botafogo over 0.5 goals
81%
@1.26
Betano
-
Botafogo over 3.5 corners
81%
@1.28
Unibet
-
Under 2 second half goals
81%
@1.24
Marathon Bet
-
Botafogo under 2 goals
81%
@1.24
Marathon Bet
-
Under 3.5 goals
80%
@1.31
Pinnacle
Build a slip from these markets →