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Bolton (8th, 4 pts) host Cardiff (12th, 2 pts) in the Championship. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Bolton's home record this season is formidable. W1 D0 L0 from 1, scoring 2.0 goals per game at home. Cardiff, by contrast, have struggled on the road (W0 D1 L0 from 1 away). That imbalance is hard to ignore.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Bolton are scoring 1.0 a game (2.0 of those at home) and Cardiff manage 1.5 (2.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 41%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 49%.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 65% of Bolton's home games and 61% of Cardiff's away matches.
Neither side has much to play for in the grand scheme. no European places within reach and relegation isn't a concern. That can make for an unpredictable game with less pressure on both sides.
Bolton do it the hard way: only 1.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.5 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break.
In the last 10 meetings: Bolton have won 4, Cardiff 5, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.4 goals per game. 4 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Cardiff 2-0 Bolton, Bolton 1-0 Cardiff, Cardiff 2-0 Bolton.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Bolton Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Cardiff Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Bolton vs Cardiff kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:30 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 49.0% probability.