Benfica vs Lech Poznan Prediction
Thursday 5 November 2026, 20:00 Europa League1234 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Benfica 74%
Draw 15%
Lech Poznan 11%
The read
The deskBenfica have won five straight at home and sit top of the Europa League table, while Lech Poznan are 32nd and have lost two of their last five away. The favourite's price leaves little room for profit, so the goals market is the sharper way to back this mismatch.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeBenficaEnzo Barrenechea: knee injury, out as of 15 Oct report · Jakub Kaminski: doubt, muscle issue as of 15 Oct report · Leandro Barreiro: doubt, back problem as of 15 Oct report
Lech PoznanNo absences found.
Checked Mon 2 Nov, 02:37.
One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1
The research
ProLech have won 3 of their last 5 away games, a run that needs goals somewhere in those matches rather than nil returns on the road.
Benfica have won 5 straight at home, both recent meetings with Lech, and sit top of a 36-team table to Lech's 32nd; the gap is too wide for a draw or an away point to be the live outcome.
“Table-toppers Benfica host a team 31 places below them; goals matter more than the obvious favourite.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
18+. BeGambleAware.org
The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica win | 1.18 | 85% | |
| Draw | 7.50 | 13% | |
| Lech Poznan win | 13.00 | 8% | |
| Benfica or draw | 1.04 | 96% | |
| Lech Poznan or draw | 5.50 | 18% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.10 | 91% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.33 | 75% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.95 | 51% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
18 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeBenfica
WWWWLW
Last 6, newest first: 5 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost. 15 scored, 6 conceded.
at Santa Clara
2-1
Won
at Omonia Nicosia
4-1
Won
v Celtic
4-1
Won
v Vitória de Guimaraes
2-0
Won
at FC Porto
1-3
Lost
at AC Milan
2-0
Won
Lech Poznan
WWDWLW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 16 scored, 9 conceded.
v Wisla Krakow
3-1
Won
at Legia Warszawa
2-1
Won
v Sunderland
1-1
Drew
v Korona Kielce
6-1
Won
v Bayer Leverkusen
0-4
Lost
at Slask Wroclaw
4-1
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Benfica v Lech Poznan: the numbers
Always freeBenficaLech Poznan
1League position32
7-1-1League record, won-drawn-lost3-2-2
29-8Goals for and against16-11
9Points1
4-0-0Home record v away record1-1-1
3.20Scored a game2.30
0.90Conceded a game1.60
22%Clean sheets43%
0%Failed to score29%
74%Both teams scored59%
67%Over 2.5 goals29%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Benfica v Lech Poznan: head to head
Always freeOnly 2 meetings on our record, too few to read a pattern from.
Benfica v Lech Poznan
4-0
Lech Poznan v Benfica
2-4
Benfica vs Lech Poznan: FAQs
Always freeBenfica vs Lech Poznan prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Benfica to win at 1.18. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Benfica vs Lech Poznan kick off?
Benfica vs Lech Poznan kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 20:00 UK time (Europa League).
What are the best odds for Benfica vs Lech Poznan?
The best prices across the books we track: Benfica 1.18, the draw 7.50, Lech Poznan 13.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Benfica vs Lech Poznan?
Benfica: Enzo Barrenechea: knee injury, out as of 15 Oct report, Jakub Kaminski: doubt, muscle issue as of 15 Oct report, Leandro Barreiro: doubt, back problem as of 15 Oct report. Lech Poznan: no absences found.
What form are Benfica and Lech Poznan in?
Benfica have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W W W W L W, newest first), scoring 15 and conceding 6. Lech Poznan have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W W D W L W, newest first), scoring 16 and conceding 9.
What is the head to head between Benfica and Lech Poznan?
In their last 2 meetings on our record, Benfica won 2, Lech Poznan won 0 and 0 were drawn. The most recent, 3 Dec 2020, finished Benfica 4-0 Lech Poznan.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Mon 2 Nov
Pro single
Sonderjyske v FC Copenhagen
1.53
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sun 1 Nov
Pro single
Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam
1.44
Over 2.5 goals (2-3) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Sampdoria v Virtus Entella
1.36
Over 1.5 goals (2-0) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Peterborough v Luton
1.41
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.