Atletico Madrid crestBayern München crest

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München Prediction

Tuesday 3 November 2026, 20:00 Champions League

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1207 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Atletico Madrid crestAtletico Madrid 26% Draw 28% Bayern München crestBayern München 46%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last five; Bayern München are unbeaten in their last five. Form gives little away going into this Champions League tie.

Too close to call with any conviction. Bayern München edge it at 46% but a draw (28%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals
The best price 1.40Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.40

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Atletico Madrid win 26% 3.40 29%
Draw 28% 4.00 25%
Bayern München win 46% 1.95 51%
Atletico Madrid or draw 57% 1.80 56%
Bayern München or draw 74% 1.33 75%
Either side to win, no draw 1.25 80%
Over 2.5 goals 72% 1.40 71%
Both teams to score 71% 1.40 71%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

14 markets
Under 2.5 first half goals William Hill 1.22
Atletico Madrid under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.18
Atletico Madrid over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Atletico Madrid or Bayern München (double chance) William Hill 1.25
Over 0.5 first half goals William Hill 1.22
Bayern München or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.33
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.36
Under 11 corners 1xBet 1.32
Both teams to score: Yes William Hill 1.40
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.40
Under 2.5 second half goals William Hill 1.40
Bayern München under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.40
Over 8.5 corners 1xBet 1.43
Under 4 goals BetVictor 1.46

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Home win 3.20 to 3.10 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Atletico Madrid crestAtletico Madrid WDWWWW

Last 6, newest first: 5 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost. 9 scored, 3 conceded.

Sat 24 Oct v Deportivo 1-0 Won
Tue 20 Oct VFB Stuttgart crestat VFB Stuttgart 1-1 Drew
Sat 17 Oct Espanyol crestat Espanyol 1-0 Won
Tue 13 Oct Manchester United crestv Manchester United 2-0 Won
Sat 10 Oct Alavés crestat Alavés 2-1 Won
Sun 20 Sep Real Madrid crestv Real Madrid 2-1 Won
Bayern München crestBayern München WDWDDW

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost. 23 scored, 9 conceded.

Sun 25 Oct SC Freiburg crestat SC Freiburg 3-1 Won
Wed 21 Oct Arsenal crestv Arsenal 2-2 Drew
Sat 17 Oct RB Leipzig crestv RB Leipzig 6-1 Won
Tue 13 Oct Viking FK crestat Viking FK 3-3 Drew
Sat 10 Oct FC Augsburg crestat FC Augsburg 2-2 Drew
Fri 18 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin crestv 1. FC Union Berlin 7-0 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Atletico Madrid v Bayern München: the numbers

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Atletico Madrid crestAtletico MadridBayern München crestBayern München -League position14 -League record, won-drawn-lost1-2-0 0-0Goals for and against10-5 0Points5 -Home record v away record0-1-0 1.61Scored a game3.33 1.17Conceded a game1.67 1.70xG for a game3.40 37%Clean sheets35% 13%Failed to score6% 53%Both teams scored65%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Atletico Madrid v Bayern München: head to head

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Atletico Madrid won 2 1 draw Bayern München won 3
2.0 goals a game 2/6 both scored 2/6 over 2.5
1 Dec 2020 Atletico Madrid crestBayern Munich crestAtletico Madrid v Bayern Munich 1-1
21 Oct 2020 Bayern Munich crestAtletico Madrid crestBayern Munich v Atletico Madrid 4-0
6 Dec 2016 Bayern Munich crestAtletico Madrid crestBayern Munich v Atletico Madrid 1-0
28 Sep 2016 Atletico Madrid crestBayern Munich crestAtletico Madrid v Bayern Munich 1-0
3 May 2016 Bayern Munich crestAtletico Madrid crestBayern Munich v Atletico Madrid 2-1
27 Apr 2016 Atletico Madrid crestBayern Munich crestAtletico Madrid v Bayern Munich 1-0

Likely scorelines

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1-28% 1-36% 2-35% 0-34% 1-44% 2-43%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München: FAQs

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Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.40. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München kick off?

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 UK time (Champions League).

What are the best odds for Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München?

The best prices across the books we track: Atletico Madrid 3.40, the draw 4.00, Bayern München 1.95. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Atletico Madrid and Bayern München in?

Atletico Madrid have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 6 (W D W W W W, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 3. Bayern München have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 6 (W D W D D W, newest first), scoring 23 and conceding 9.

What is the head to head between Atletico Madrid and Bayern München?

In their last 6 meetings on our record, Atletico Madrid won 2, Bayern München won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 1 Dec 2020, finished Atletico Madrid 1-1 Bayern Munich.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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