1071 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
Atletico arrive without striker Alexander Sorloth and midfielder Pablo Barrios, but Alaves are missing both first-choice centre-backs, Facundo Garces and Mikel Rodriguez, which still tips the balance toward the visitors. Expect goals rather than a tight away day, with total goals and the double chance worth more attention than backing both teams to score.
Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Facundo Garces: out · Mikel Rodriguez: out · Ville Koski: doubt
Alexander Sorloth: out · Pablo Barrios: out · Alex Grimaldo: doubt · Julian Alvarez: managed fitness doubt
Checked Wed 7 Oct, 09:25.
5 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
Both sides carry real question marks over their own goal supply: Atletico without central striker Sorloth and with Barrios and Grimaldo doubtful in midfield, Alaves missing both first-choice centre-backs and with Koski, a forward-line doubt, also out. Neither side's scoring picture is clean enough to trust both to find the net.
“Atletico still favoured despite missing Sorloth and Barrios; Alaves too depleted at centre-back to hold them out.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves win | 19% | 4.33 | 23% |
| Draw | 28% | 3.80 | 26% |
| Atletico Madrid win | 53% | 1.80 | 56% |
| Alaves or draw | 52% | 1.95 | 51% |
| Atletico Madrid or draw | 80%+ | 1.22 | 82% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.29 | 78% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.80 | 56% |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 1.75 | 57% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost. 8 scored, 6 conceded.
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 13 scored, 7 conceded.
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.27. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:15 UK time (La Liga).
The best prices across the books we track: Alaves 4.33, the draw 3.80, Atletico Madrid 1.80. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Alaves: Facundo Garces: out, Mikel Rodriguez: out, Ville Koski: doubt. Atletico Madrid: Alexander Sorloth: out, Pablo Barrios: out, Alex Grimaldo: doubt, Julian Alvarez: managed fitness doubt.
Alaves have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6 (D L L W W D, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 6. Atletico Madrid have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W W W L L W, newest first), scoring 13 and conceding 7.
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Alaves won 2, Atletico Madrid won 6 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 18 Jan 2026, finished Atletico Madrid 1-0 Alaves.
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.