Alaves v Atletico Madrid bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.30 +
Atletico Madrid or draw
Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks
- The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
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Over 2.5 Goals
Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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M. Díaz AlavesShots on target 1+
M. Díaz: 1.14 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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L. Boyé AlavesShots on target 1+
L. Boyé: 1.00 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Angel Pérez AlavesShots on target 1+
Angel Pérez: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Rebbach AlavesShots on target 1+
A. Rebbach: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Díaz AlavesShots on target 2+
M. Díaz: 1.14 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 54%Corners: Alaves avg 4.6 for/4.3 against, Atletico Madrid avg 4.6 for/4.4 against so expected 8.9 match corners
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Over 6.5 Match Corners 79%Corners: Alaves avg 4.6 for/4.3 against, Atletico Madrid avg 4.6 for/4.4 against so expected 8.9 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 53%Cards: Alaves avg 2.0/game, Atletico Madrid avg 1.8/game so expected 3.8 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 74%Cards: Alaves avg 2.0/game, Atletico Madrid avg 1.8/game so expected 3.8 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 43%Fouls: Alaves avg 13.6/game, Atletico Madrid avg 10.2/game so expected 23.9 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 75%Fouls: Alaves avg 13.6/game, Atletico Madrid avg 10.2/game so expected 23.9 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Shots 55%Shots: Alaves avg 12.0/game, Atletico Madrid avg 13.3/game so expected 25.3 match shots
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Over 20.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Alaves avg 12.0/game, Atletico Madrid avg 13.3/game so expected 25.3 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 2.5 second half goals 85% market Bet3651.20 +
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Atletico Madrid over 0.5 goals 84% market Bet3651.20 +
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Over 0.5 second half goals 83% market William Hill1.22 +
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Atletico Madrid or Draw (double chance) 82% market 1xBet1.30 +
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Atletico Madrid under 2.5 goals 82% market Pinnacle1.23 +
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Alaves or Atletico Madrid (double chance) 81% market 1xBet1.31 +
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Over 1.5 goals 81% market Pinnacle1.26 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 75% market 1xBet1.37 +
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Under 3.5 goals 75% market Pinnacle1.38 +
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Alaves under 1.5 goals 73% market 1xBet1.41 +
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Alaves over 0.5 goals 72% market 1xBet1.41 +
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Under 1.5 first half goals 69% market William Hill1.44 +
More fixtures
All previews ›The daily sheet: every leg, with its chance of landing
Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.