Ajax v NEC Nijmegen

Saturday 10 October 2026, 20:00 Eredivisie

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1057 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Ajax 66% Draw 18% NEC Nijmegen 13%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

Always free

Neck and neck in the Eredivisie standings. Ajax (5th, 56 pts) host NEC Nijmegen (3rd, 59 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.

The model says

Always free
The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals
The best price 1.30Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.30

2 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1

The model v the market

Always free
Best priceImplied
Ajax win 1.36 74%
Draw 5.50 18%
NEC Nijmegen win 9.50 11%
Ajax or draw 1.14 88%
NEC Nijmegen or draw 2.90 34%
Either side to win, no draw 1.18 85%
Over 2.5 goals 1.30 77%
Both teams to score 1.53 65%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. In FBB Pro.

Every priced market

12 markets
Ajax over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.30
Under 2.5 first half goals William Hill 1.29
Over 1 first half goals 1xBet 1.27
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.30
Ajax to win William Hill 1.36
Ajax under 3.5 goals Bet365 1.28
NEC Nijmegen over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.33
NEC Nijmegen under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.50
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.44
Over 3 goals 1xBet 1.40
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.44
Both teams to score: Yes William Hill 1.53

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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