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AC Milan have lost three of their last five; Venezia have won four of their last six. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Serie A tie.
Goals are a tough one to call here. AC Milan are scoring 1.0 a game (1.0 of those at home) and Venezia manage 3.8 (3.8 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 50%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Both teams scoring looks unlikely (just 29%). AC Milan shut the door in 39% of their games and Venezia draw a blank in 0% of theirs, so don't be surprised if one side keeps it tight at the back.
Both teams score in 53% of AC Milan's home games and 67% of Venezia's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Venezia have goals in them (3.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.7 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 4 meetings: AC Milan have won 4, Venezia 0, with 0 draws. These fixtures average 2.8 goals per game. 2 of the last 4 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Venezia 0-2 AC Milan, AC Milan 4-0 Venezia, Venezia 0-3 AC Milan, AC Milan 2-0 Venezia.
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (9%) and 1-3 (8%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | AC Milan Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Venezia Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
AC Milan vs Venezia kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.