Bet Builder · Fixture Tip

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Bet Builder Tip

Thursday 20 August 2026, 20:00 · La Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

Our Model's Picks

Tracked · part of our verified record

Our 2-Leg Bet Builder

54.3% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail

Combined fair odds @1.84
  • Rayo Vallecano or Draw

    ≈1.21

    Probability: 82.7% · Fair odds: 1.21

    Tracked this market has hit 90% across 71 verified picks

    Win if home team wins or draws. Home avoid defeat 68% of games.

  • Under 2.5 Goals

    ≈1.52

    Probability: 65.6% · Fair odds: 1.52

    Tracked this market has hit 59% across 91 verified picks

    Based on odds consensus.

Our model rates this 2-leg combination at 54.3% combined, blending the strongest match-result and goals markets for Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves. Combined probability assumes the legs are independent, in reality the model-result and goals legs are mildly correlated, so treat the combined as a guide rather than a precise figure. We log every prediction we publish.

Alternative Picks

  • No Draw Double Chance 72.9% @1.35
  • Over 1.5 Goals 63.4% @1.55
  • Alaves or Draw Double Chance 60.0% @1.71
  • Draw First Half 53.4% @1.89
  • Yes BTTS 52.6% @2.19

How is this built?

This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. These are the same markets that make up our verified record for this league.

View our full verified track record →  |  Full match preview →

What the market itself rates likely

Taken from bookmaker prices with the margin still inside. These are the bookmakers' own numbers, not our model, and no record of ours stands behind them. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Same-game fold one leg per market, live bookie prices

  • Under 2.5 goals 70% best 1.50 Betano
  • Rayo Vallecano under 8.5 corners Smart 85% best 1.18 Unibet
  • Alexandre Alemao 1+ shots on target 71% best 1.40 Bet365
  • Raul De Tomas 1+ shots on target 69% best 1.44 Bet365
  • Lucas Boye 1+ shots on target 69% best 1.44 Bet365

Combined 5.14 · £5 returns £25.69

Best prices can sit at different bookmakers, so the combined figure is a guide, not a quote you can take as one slip. Legs from the same game also move together, which flatters a combined price.

Market singles

  • Rayo Vallecano under 8.5 corners 85% best 1.18 Unibet
  • Rayo Vallecano or Draw (double chance) 84% best 1.30 Marathon Bet
  • Alaves under 1.5 goals 83% best 1.23 1xBet
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 82% best 1.27 Betano
  • Rayo Vallecano over 3.5 corners 82% best 1.22 Unibet
  • Over 7.5 corners 81% best 1.23 Unibet
  • Under 12.5 corners 81% best 1.24 Unibet
  • Alaves under 5.5 corners 78% best 1.28 Unibet
  • Alaves over 2.5 corners 78% best 1.29 Unibet
  • Rayo Vallecano or Alaves (double chance) 77% best 1.39 Marathon Bet
  • Rayo Vallecano over 0.5 goals 77% best 1.35 Betano
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 76% best 1.40 William Hill