Le Havre crestParis Saint Germain crest

Le Havre v Paris Saint Germain bet builder

Friday 30 October 2026, 18:00 · Ligue 1

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Paris Saint Germain to win

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 53% across 49 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 76%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 50%.)

    1.31 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 118 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 67% chance all land
1.50

The model puts this 2-leg build at 67% combined for Le Havre v Paris Saint Germain. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 67% 1.44 +
  • Paris Saint Germain (first half) First Half 62% 1.60 +
  • Over 3.5 Goals 55% 1.86 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 51% 1.99 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • M. Samatta Le Havre
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Samatta: 1.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Doué Paris Saint Germain
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Doué: 1.00 shots on target a game over 7 games [WC form: 2.03/90 over 2 games (177 min), 30% weight

  • M. Samatta Le Havre
    Shots on target 2+

    M. Samatta: 1.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Maja Le Havre
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Maja: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Ebonog Le Havre
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Ebonog: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Richardson Le Havre
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Richardson: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Nakamura Le Havre
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Nakamura: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • João Neves Paris Saint Germain
    Shots on target 1+

    João Neves: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 3 second half goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Paris Saint Germain to win 82% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Under 2.5 first half goals 82% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Le Havre under 1.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Over 1 first half goals 76% market Betano
    1.38 +
  • Paris Saint Germain over 2 goals 74% market Marathon Bet
    1.36 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 73% market Bet365
    1.44 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 71% market Bet365
    1.44 +
  • Over 3 goals 69% market 1xBet
    1.51 +
  • Paris Saint Germain to win the second half 68% market William Hill
    1.53 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.