Cruz Azul v Toluca bet builder

Saturday 26 September 2026, 23:50 · Liga MX

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Cruz Azul or draw

    the model's number, for members
    1.43 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
  • Over 2.5 Goals

Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
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Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 1.21 +
  • Toluca or Draw Double Chance 1.44 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 1.49 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • N. Ibáñez Cruz Azul
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Ibáñez: 1.67 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Paradela Cruz Azul
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Paradela: 0.89 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Palavecino Cruz Azul
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Palavecino: 0.88 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Márquez Cruz Azul
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Márquez: 0.78 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Ibáñez Cruz Azul
    Shots on target 2+

    N. Ibáñez: 1.67 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Vega Toluca
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Vega: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Angulo Toluca
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Angulo: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Díaz Toluca
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Díaz: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Romero Cruz Azul
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Romero: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Castro Toluca
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Castro: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Barbosa Toluca
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Barbosa: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 11.5 Match Corners 46%
    Corners: Cruz Azul avg 7.3 for/3.0 against, Toluca avg 5.7 for/6.7 against so expected 11.3 match corners
  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 79%
    Corners: Cruz Azul avg 7.3 for/3.0 against, Toluca avg 5.7 for/6.7 against so expected 11.3 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 50%
    Cards: Cruz Azul avg 1.3/game, Toluca avg 2.3/game so expected 3.7 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Cruz Azul avg 1.3/game, Toluca avg 2.3/game so expected 3.7 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 56%
    Fouls: Cruz Azul avg 11.0/game, Toluca avg 10.3/game so expected 21.3 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 72%
    Fouls: Cruz Azul avg 11.0/game, Toluca avg 10.3/game so expected 21.3 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Cruz Azul avg 22.0/game, Toluca avg 17.7/game so expected 39.7 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Cruz Azul avg 22.0/game, Toluca avg 17.7/game so expected 39.7 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Cruz Azul over 0.5 goals 85% market Betano
    1.23 +
  • Toluca under 2.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Cruz Azul over 3.5 corners 85% market Betano
    1.18 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market Betano
    1.27 +
  • Under 4 goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Cruz Azul or Toluca (double chance) 81% market Betano
    1.34 +
  • Over 2 goals 81% market BetVictor
    1.29 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market Betano
    1.36 +
  • Over 8.5 corners 79% market Betano
    1.26 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.27 +
  • Toluca over 3.5 corners 78% market Betano
    1.29 +
FBB Pro

The daily sheet: every leg, with its chance of landing

Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.

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Cancel any time. 18+. This is analysis and opinion, not betting advice.