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Neck and neck in the MLS standings. Portland Timbers (8th, 44 pts) host Austin (6th, 47 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.
Portland Timbers's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Portland Timbers create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.9), leaving them -0.6 a game on the balance. Austin create 1.1 (giving up 1.9) for a balance of -0.8. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Portland Timbers average 1.3 goals per game and Austin manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.6. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Portland Timbers Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Austin Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Portland Timbers vs Austin kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 03:30 in the MLS.