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A Championship clash between two sides separated by just 3 places in the table. West Ham (16th, 1 pts) and Wrexham (13th, 2 pts) both have plenty to play for.
West Ham will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D0 L1 at home). Wrexham's away record reads W0 D1 L0. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. West Ham's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
West Ham create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.2 a game on the balance. Wrexham create 1.2 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of -0.4. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Goals are a tough one to call here. West Ham are scoring 1.5 a game (1.0 of those at home) and Wrexham manage 1.0 (1.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 49%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 47%.
Both teams score in 58% of West Ham's home games and 57% of Wrexham's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | West Ham Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Wrexham Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
West Ham vs Wrexham kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:00 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 46.6% probability.