Vitoria vs Gremio Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
A Brasileirão Série A meeting between Vitoria (15th, 45 pts) and Gremio (9th, 49 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Vitoria will be looking to make home advantage count (W9 D6 L4 at home). Gremio's away record reads W4 D5 L10. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Vitoria create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.1), leaving them +0.1 a game on the balance. Gremio create 1.6 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of +0.3. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Vitoria average 0.9 goals per game and Gremio manage 1.2. Combined that's just 2.1. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Neither side has much to play for in the grand scheme. no European places within reach and relegation isn't a concern. That can make for an unpredictable game with less pressure on both sides.
In the last 10 meetings: Vitoria have won 0, Gremio 6, with 4 draws. These fixtures average 2.2 goals per game. 3 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Gremio 2-0 Vitoria, Gremio 3-1 Vitoria, Vitoria 1-1 Gremio.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Vitoria Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Gremio Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Vitoria vs Gremio kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 00:00 in the Brasileirão Série A.