VfB Stuttgart vs Viking Predictions & Odds
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VfB Stuttgart have taken six points from their last five; Viking have won three of their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Champions League tie.
Z. Tripić has been Viking's main threat, with 6 goals and 15 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 0.71 shots on target per game.
Both sides are prolific in front of goal. VfB Stuttgart average 2.0 per game and Viking chip in with 2.2. Expect an open, attacking contest. One thing to keep in mind about VfB Stuttgart. They're scoring 2.0 goals per game but the quality of chances they create only works out at 1.9. Scoring that much more than the chances suggest (+0.4), that kind of hot finishing usually cools off, so their results may be flattering their actual play. Viking could be in for a similar cool-off. 2.2 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.8. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much. The gap in chance quality is clear: Viking come out at +0.7 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to +0.2. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
VfB Stuttgart create chances worth 1.9 a game (and give up chances worth 1.8), leaving them +0.2 a game on the balance. Viking create 1.8 (giving up 1.1) for a balance of +0.7. On the quality of chances, Viking look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. VfB Stuttgart are scoring 2.0 goals a game off chances worth just 1.9. That's +0.4 more than the chances suggest: finishing hot. History says this kind of run usually cools off. Viking are also scoring more than their chances suggest (2.2 goals vs chance quality of 1.8). Both runs could cool off at once.
VfB Stuttgart average 2.0 goals per game and Viking manage 2.2. Combined that's just 4.2. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. VfB Stuttgart and Viking together create chances worth 3.7 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Both teams score in 41% of VfB Stuttgart's home games and 64% of Viking's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.
VfB Stuttgart are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 2.4 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Viking, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Viking have goals in them (2.2 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end. Don't underestimate the visitors. Viking create chances worth 1.8 a game and VfB Stuttgart give up chances worth 1.8 at home. The away side could control the ball here.
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (9%) and 1-1 (8%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | VfB Stuttgart Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Viking Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart vs Viking kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 17:45 in the Champions League.