Valerenga vs Fredrikstad Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
There's barely anything between these two. Valerenga (6th, 43 pts) and Fredrikstad (8th, 42 pts) meet in a fixture that could shape the Eliteserien table.
L. Haren has been Valerenga's spearhead, with 8 goals and 1 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 0.76 shots on target per game. O. Øhlenschlæger has been Fredrikstad's main threat, with 3 goals and 1 assists in 16 appearances, averaging 0.56 shots on target per game.
The travelling Fredrikstad fans arrive with a spring in their step, and rightly so. recent form reads L-W-W-W-W. That L-W-W-W-W away form is genuinely impressive. Valerenga have been wobbling (L-D-L-L-W) recent form reads L-D-L-L-W. But home crowds have a way of dragging a side through, and Valerenga will fancy that their own supporters can be the difference when it matters. Interestingly, Valerenga have been poor at home recently while Fredrikstad travel well. the visitors' away form is superior to the hosts' home record.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Valerenga create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 2.0), leaving them -0.7 a game on the balance. Fredrikstad create 1.1 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of -0.5. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Valerenga average 1.6 goals per game and Fredrikstad manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.9. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
In the last 8 meetings: Valerenga have won 2, Fredrikstad 3, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 2.3 goals per game. 3 of the last 8 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Valerenga 3-1 Fredrikstad, Fredrikstad 1-1 Valerenga, Valerenga 1-2 Fredrikstad.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Valerenga Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Fredrikstad Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Valerenga vs Fredrikstad kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:30 in the Eliteserien.