Tromso vs Ham-Kam Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
Get the model's verified verdict on Tromso (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
An Eliteserien tie. Our model makes it Tromso 0%, the draw 0%, Ham-Kam 0%.
H. Larsen has been Tromso's spearhead, with 8 goals and 2 assists in 18 appearances, averaging 1.06 shots on target per game. M. Niang has been Ham-Kam's main threat, with 6 goals and 0 assists in 11 appearances, averaging 0.82 shots on target per game.
Tromso have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 2.6 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 2.0. They're creating more as the season goes on. A concern for Ham-Kam: they're giving up chances worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.6 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Tromso create chances worth 2.0 a game (and give up chances worth 0.9), leaving them +1.1 a game on the balance. Ham-Kam create 1.5 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of 0.0. The underlying numbers clearly favour Tromso. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Tromso are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 2.6 a game over the last 5 vs 2.0 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove. Ham-Kam's defence is giving up chances. Worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 vs 1.6 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Tromso average 1.7 goals per game and Ham-Kam manage 0.0. Combined that's just 1.7. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Tromso and Ham-Kam together create chances worth 3.6 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Ham-Kam prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Tromso against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Tromso Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Ham-Kam Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Tromso vs Ham-Kam kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 in the Eliteserien.