Tottenham vs Charlton Predictions & Odds
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Tottenham have won three of their last five; Charlton have won three of their last five. Form gives little away going into this EFL Cup tie.
The gap in chance quality is clear: Tottenham come out at +0.1 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.4. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Tottenham create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.0), leaving them +0.1 a game on the balance. Charlton create 1.2 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of -0.4. The underlying numbers clearly favour Tottenham. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
Tottenham average 1.2 goals per game and Charlton manage 1.8. Combined that's just 3.0. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Tottenham do it the hard way: only 1.2 a game up top, but a mean 0.8 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. Charlton have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.6 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%) and 1-0 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Tottenham Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Charlton Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Tottenham vs Charlton kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 19:45 in the EFL Cup.