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Chelsea have lost three of their last five; Luton have won five straight. The visitors bring the sharper form into this EFL Cup tie.
Chelsea average 0.9 goals per game and Luton manage 2.8. Combined that's just 3.7. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Luton have goals in them (2.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.2 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (10%) and 0-2 (10%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Chelsea Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Luton Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Chelsea vs Luton kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 19:30 in the EFL Cup.