Newcastle vs West Brom Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Newcastle have taken 7 points from their last five; West Brom have won three of their last five. Form gives little away going into this EFL Cup tie.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Newcastle create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.7), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. West Brom create 1.6 (giving up 1.0) for a balance of +0.7. On the quality of chances, West Brom look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Newcastle average 1.4 goals per game and West Brom manage 2.0. Combined that's just 3.4. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Newcastle and West Brom together create chances worth 3.2 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
West Brom are similarly well-balanced. 2.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Newcastle Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | West Brom Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Newcastle vs West Brom kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 19:45 in the EFL Cup.