Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
Get the model's verified verdict on Sporting Kansas City (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Sporting Kansas City have lost three of their last five; Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this MLS tie.
C. Harris has been Sporting Kansas City's spearhead, with 3 goals and 3 assists in 22 appearances, averaging 0.59 shots on target per game. M. Iloski has been Philadelphia Union's main threat, with 11 goals and 2 assists in 22 appearances, averaging 1.41 shots on target per game.
Philadelphia Union are no pushovers away from home. W9 D2 L7 from 18 away trips, scoring 1.3 per game on the road. Sporting Kansas City (W4 D5 L8 at home) can't afford to take this lightly. Philadelphia Union have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average. Interestingly, Sporting Kansas City look better than their results show. The quality of chances they create is worth 1.5 a game, but they're only converting 1.4 goals. They're creating more than the scoreline shows and look due a few more goals.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sporting Kansas City create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 2.2), leaving them -0.7 a game on the balance. Philadelphia Union create 1.7 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of +0.3. On the quality of chances, Philadelphia Union look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Sporting Kansas City should be scoring more. Their chances are worth 1.5 a game but they're only getting 1.4 goals. When the finishing clicks, they'll be a handful. A worry for Sporting Kansas City: the chances they're creating lately are worth 1.0 a game, well below their 1.5 season figure. The attacking output has dipped.
Sporting Kansas City average 1.4 goals per game and Philadelphia Union manage 1.7. Combined that's just 3.1. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Sporting Kansas City and Philadelphia Union together create chances worth 3.2 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sporting Kansas City Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Philadelphia Union Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 01:30 in the MLS.