Player Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
J
J. Calleri
1+ Shots on Target
54% (model)
J. Calleri averages 0.71 SoT/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
L
Luciano
1+ Shots on Target
51% (model)
Luciano averages 0.65 SoT/match (20 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
E
E. Díaz
To Be Carded
45% (model)
E. Díaz (Defender) on 0.54 yellows/match (13 apps), pos-mult 1.10
L
Lucas Ramon
1+ Shots on Target
42% (model)
Lucas Ramon averages 0.50 SoT/match (6 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
F
Ferreira
1+ Shots on Target
41% (model)
Ferreira averages 0.47 SoT/match (19 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
Sao Paulo Host Atletico Mineiro: Our Prediction
Sao Paulo 46%, the draw 26%, Atletico Mineiro 28%. That's the shape of this one.
The bookmakers open Sao Paulo at @2.00 for this Brasileirão Série A tie, with Atletico Mineiro out at @3.60.
Luciano has been Sao Paulo's spearhead, with 7 goals and 2 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 0.65 shots on target per game. Whoever leads Atletico Mineiro's line will have a job on against that profile.
Key men
L
Luciano
Sao Paulo · Attacker
7 goals · 2 assists in 20 apps
0.7 shots on target a game
Key facts
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 75% of Sao Paulo's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
▸ Form & goals
Sao Paulo average 1.1 goals per game and Atletico Mineiro manage 0.0. Combined that's just 1.1. We make it only 41% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
▸ Team news & context
Atletico Mineiro prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Sao Paulo against this setup.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
Latest News
Loading latest news...
Team Intel
📊 Sao Paulo · xG
For: 0.87/g
Against: 1.78/g
⚠️ Outscoring xG by 0.33/g, possibly running hot
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Sao Paulo vs Atletico Mineiro Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Sao Paulo Win |
@2.00
|
45.8% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.10
|
26.1% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Atletico Mineiro Win |
@3.60
|
28.0% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@2.10
|
40.8% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@1.67
|
59.2% |
William Hill |
05The numbers
Sao Paulo vs Atletico Mineiro Team Stats
Sao Paulo
Position
8
Played
38
Record
14W-9D-15L
Goals F/A
43/47
Avg Goals Scored
1.10
Points
51
Overall Form
DLDDL
Home Form
DDLLD
Home Record
10W-4D-5L
Atletico Mineiro
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-0
17.4%
2-0
4.8%