Get the model's verified verdict on Rosenborg (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
An Eliteserien tie. Our model makes it Rosenborg 0%, the draw 0%, Ham-Kam 0%.
Amin Chiakha has been Rosenborg's spearhead, with 9 goals and 2 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 1.06 shots on target per game. M. Niang has been Ham-Kam's main threat, with 6 goals and 0 assists in 11 appearances, averaging 0.82 shots on target per game.
Rosenborg's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. A concern for Ham-Kam: they're giving up chances worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.6 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Rosenborg create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.9), leaving them -0.4 a game on the balance. Ham-Kam create 1.5 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of 0.0. On the quality of chances, Ham-Kam look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Ham-Kam's defence is giving up chances. Worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 vs 1.6 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Rosenborg average 1.5 goals per game and Ham-Kam manage 0.0. Combined that's just 1.5. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Rosenborg and Ham-Kam together create chances worth 3.1 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Ham-Kam prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Rosenborg against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Rosenborg Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Ham-Kam Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Eliteserien.