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Real Salt Lake are winless in their last five; New York City FC have lost their last two. The visitors bring the sharper form into this MLS tie.
S. Solans has been Real Salt Lake's spearhead, with 9 goals and 3 assists in 19 appearances, averaging 1.00 shots on target per game. N. Fernández Mercau has been New York City FC's main threat, with 13 goals and 3 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 1.55 shots on target per game.
The travelling New York City FC fans arrive with a spring in their step, and rightly so. recent form reads L-L-D-W-W. That L-L-D-W-W away form is genuinely impressive. Real Salt Lake have been wobbling (L-D-D-L-L) recent form reads L-D-D-L-L. But home crowds have a way of dragging a side through, and Real Salt Lake will fancy that their own supporters can be the difference when it matters. New York City FC have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Real Salt Lake create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.8), leaving them -0.5 a game on the balance. New York City FC create 1.2 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.2. On the quality of chances, New York City FC look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. A worry for Real Salt Lake: the chances they're creating lately are worth 0.9 a game, well below their 1.3 season figure. The attacking output has dipped.
Real Salt Lake average 1.1 goals per game and New York City FC manage 1.4. Combined that's just 2.5. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
In the last 9 meetings: Real Salt Lake have won 4, New York City FC 2, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 3.6 goals per game. 7 of the last 9 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Real Salt Lake 2-2 New York City FC, Real Salt Lake 2-2 New York City FC, Real Salt Lake 0-0 New York City FC.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Real Salt Lake Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | New York City FC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Full Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC head-to-head history →
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 02:30 in the MLS.