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Rangers 68%, the draw 17%, St Mirren 13%. That's the shape of this one.
A Scottish Premiership meeting between Rangers (2nd, 69 pts) and St Mirren (10th, 30 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Our PickRangers to win at @1.30. Model probability 68% vs implied 77%. The market is 9pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
The travelling St Mirren fans arrive with a spring in their step, and rightly so. unbeaten in 5. That D-W-W-D-W away form is genuinely impressive. Rangers have been wobbling (D-L-D-W-L) recent form reads D-L-D-W-L. But home crowds have a way of dragging a side through, and Rangers will fancy that their own supporters can be the difference when it matters. Interestingly, Rangers have been poor at home recently while St Mirren travel well. the visitors' away form is superior to the hosts' home record.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Rangers are scoring 2.0 a game (2.1 of those at home) and St Mirren manage 0.8 (1.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 60%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 44%.
Rangers are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.1 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at St Mirren, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 10 meetings: Rangers have won 6, St Mirren 2, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.8 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Rangers 5-1 St Mirren, St Mirren 0-1 Rangers, Rangers 2-1 St Mirren.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Rangers Win | @1.30 | 67.6% | Marathon Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | @5.10 | 17.2% | Marathon Bet |
| Match Result | St Mirren Win | @9.30 | 13.2% | Marathon Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.90 | 43.7% | Marathon Bet |
| BTTS | No | @1.78 | 56.3% | Marathon Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.59 | 59.9% | Marathon Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.31 | 40.1% | Marathon Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.13 | - | Marathon Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.55 | - | Marathon Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.38 | - | Marathon Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.47 | - | Marathon Bet |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Rangers the favourite with a 67.6% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Rangers @ 1.30, Draw @ 5.10, St Mirren @ 9.30. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Rangers vs St Mirren kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 19:45 in the Scottish Premiership.