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The model makes Rangers 55% favourites here. FK Jablonec carry the 21% upset.
The bookmakers open Rangers at @1.67 for this Europa Conference League tie, with FK Jablonec out at @5.90.
Our PickRangers to win at @1.67. Model probability 55% vs implied 60%. The market is 5pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Rangers average 1.7 goals per game and FK Jablonec manage 0.0. Combined that's just 1.7. Even so, we make it 61% for three or more. The model sees more goals here than the season averages suggest. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 53%.
FK Jablonec prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Rangers against this setup. Neither defence inspires confidence. Both sides rarely keep clean sheets. Open, attacking football is on the cards.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Rangers Win | @1.67 | 55.2% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | Draw | @4.10 | 24.0% | 10Bet |
| Match Result | FK Jablonec Win | @5.90 | 20.8% | Betano |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.57 | 53.1% | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | @2.30 | 46.9% | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.63 | 60.6% | 1xBet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.40 | 39.4% | 1xBet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.20 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.75 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.50 | - | 1xBet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.60 | - | 1xBet |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Rangers the favourite with a 55.2% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Rangers @ 1.67, Draw @ 4.10, FK Jablonec @ 5.90. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Rangers vs FK Jablonec kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:45 in the Europa Conference League.