Parma vs Genoa Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Parma have lost their last two; Genoa have lost five in a row. Neither side arrives in rhythm for this Serie A tie.
Parma will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D0 L1 at home). Genoa's away record reads W0 D0 L1. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Parma's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. Neither side has been putting the ball away much. Parma average just 0.5 goals per game and Genoa manage 0.3. This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. The gap in chance quality is clear: Genoa come out at -0.4 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.9. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Parma create chances worth 0.7 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.9 a game on the balance. Genoa create 1.0 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of -0.4. On the quality of chances, Genoa look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Parma average 0.5 goals per game and Genoa manage 0.3. Combined that's just 0.8. We make it only 38% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 46%.
Both teams score in 47% of Parma's home games and 58% of Genoa's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
In the last 10 meetings: Parma have won 4, Genoa 3, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 2.7 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Parma 0-0 Genoa, Genoa 0-0 Parma, Genoa 1-0 Parma, Parma 0-1 Genoa.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (14%) and 1-1 (13%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Parma Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Genoa Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Parma vs Genoa kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 46.3% probability.