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The model makes Panathinaikos 60% favourites here. Hradec Králové carry the 17% upset.
The bookmakers open Panathinaikos at @1.50 for this Europa Conference League tie, with Hradec Králové out at @7.80.
Our PickPanathinaikos to win at @1.50. Model probability 60% vs implied 67%. The market is 6pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Panathinaikos average 1.3 goals per game and Hradec Králové manage 0.0. Combined that's just 1.3. We make it 52% for three or more, so there's no strong lean on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 44%.
Hradec Králové prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Panathinaikos against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Panathinaikos Win | @1.50 | 60.2% | Betano |
| Match Result | Draw | @5.06 | 22.7% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | Hradec Králové Win | @7.80 | 17.1% | 1xBet |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.95 | 43.5% | 1xBet |
| BTTS | No | @1.82 | 56.5% | 1xBet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.83 | 52.0% | 1xBet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.02 | 48.0% | 1xBet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.28 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.75 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.05 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.40 | - | Betano |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Panathinaikos the favourite with a 60.2% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Panathinaikos @ 1.50, Draw @ 5.06, Hradec Králové @ 7.80. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Panathinaikos vs Hradec Králové kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:30 in the Europa Conference League.