01The read
Analysing Motherwell vs SC Freiburg: Who Wins?
Motherwell 21%, the draw 25%, SC Freiburg 54%. That's the shape of this one.
Motherwell have taken 8 points from their last five; SC Freiburg have taken 7 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this Europa Conference League tie.
Key facts
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 75% of SC Freiburg's matches this season
🎯
Goals Lean
We make it 59% for three or more goals in this one
▸ Form & goals
Goals are a tough one to call here. Motherwell are scoring 1.3 a game (1.3 of those at home) and SC Freiburg manage 1.6 (1.6 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 59%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 53%.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Motherwell HT
4.90
-
Draw HT
2.30
-
SC Freiburg HT
2.27
Latest News
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Team Intel
📊 SC Freiburg · xG
For: 1.34/g
Against: 1.66/g
⚠️ Outscoring xG by 0.36/g, possibly running hot
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Motherwell vs SC Freiburg Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Motherwell Win |
@4.90
|
20.6% |
Betano |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@4.01
|
25.4% |
1xBet |
| Match Result |
SC Freiburg Win |
@1.74
|
54.1% |
1xBet |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.60
|
53.1% |
Betano |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.28
|
46.9% |
Betano |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.67
|
58.9% |
Betano |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.34
|
41.1% |
Betano |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.22
|
- |
Betano |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@4.50
|
- |
Betano |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.63
|
- |
1xBet |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.53
|
- |
1xBet |
05The numbers
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-3
2.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-4
1.0%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 10 priced markets
-
SC Freiburg or Draw (double chance)
85%
@1.21
1xBet
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
85%
@1.18
Betano
-
Motherwell or SC Freiburg (double chance)
83%
@1.26
Betano
-
Under 4 goals
81%
@1.24
1xBet
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
81%
@1.31
Betano
-
Over 2 goals
79%
@1.26
1xBet
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
78%
@1.35
Betano
-
SC Freiburg under 2.5 goals
77%
@1.38
Betano
-
Motherwell under 1.5 goals
75%
@1.37
Betano
-
Motherwell over 0.5 goals
74%
@1.42
Betano
Build a slip from these markets →