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Lille have taken 8 points from their last five; Estac Troyes have taken four points from their last two. Form gives little away going into this Ligue 1 tie.
Lille average 2.0 goals per game and Estac Troyes manage 1.0. Combined that's just 3.0. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both teams score in 47% of Lille's home games and 50% of Estac Troyes's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Matches involving Lille always carry an extra edge. When you're challenging at the top, every fixture is scrutinised, every dropped point analysed. Estac Troyes will know they need to be at their best to get a result here.
Lille are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Estac Troyes, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Estac Troyes prefer to keep things tight (0.5 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Lille against this setup.
In the last 10 meetings: Lille have won 4, Estac Troyes 3, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 3.0 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Estac Troyes 1-1 Lille, Lille 5-1 Estac Troyes, Lille 2-0 Estac Troyes, Estac Troyes 3-0 Lille.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (13%) and 1-1 (13%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Lille Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Estac Troyes Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Lille vs Estac Troyes kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 in the Ligue 1.