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Le Mans (11th, 1 pts) host Lens (5th, 3 pts) in the Ligue 1. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Le Mans will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D1 L0 at home). Lens's away record reads W0 D0 L1. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Season-long, Lens average 1.5 points per game compared to Le Mans's 1.0. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore. Both sides are prolific in front of goal. Le Mans average 2.0 per game and Lens chip in with 3.0. Expect an open, attacking contest.
Goals look likely here. Le Mans average 2.0 per game (2.0 at home) and Lens chip in with 3.0 (1.0 away). Defensively, Le Mans concede 2.0 at home and Lens leak 2.0 on the road. We make it 75% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today. There's a good chance both teams find the net, and we make it 71%. Le Mans score in 100% of their games and Lens in 82%, and neither back line is tight enough to bank on a clean sheet. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 3.0 goals when they meet, with 4 of the last 5 producing three or more.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 100% of Le Mans's home games and 59% of Lens's away matches.
Le Mans are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 2.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Lens, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Lens have goals in them (3.0 per game) but their record at the back (2.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 5 meetings: Le Mans have won 2, Lens 2, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 3.0 goals per game. 4 of the last 5 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Le Mans 1-2 Lens, Le Mans 2-1 Lens, Lens 2-2 Le Mans, Lens 1-3 Le Mans.
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (7%) and 2-2 (7%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Le Mans Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Lens Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Le Mans vs Lens kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:15 in the Ligue 1.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 71.2% probability.