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Tricky away day for Real Betis (5th, 60 pts) as they travel to Levante (18th, 42 pts), but the visitors' league position tells you they should have more than enough here.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Levante come in on a L-W-W-W-L run, Real Betis have gone W-L-W-D-W, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Levante's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. Real Betis could be in for a similar cool-off. 1.6 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.2. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much. The gap in chance quality is clear: Levante come out at +0.6 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.1. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Levante create chances worth 1.8 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them +0.6 a game on the balance. Real Betis create 1.2 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of -0.1. The underlying numbers clearly favour Levante. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Real Betis are also scoring more than their chances suggest (1.6 goals vs chance quality of 1.2). Both runs could cool off at once.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Levante are scoring 1.2 a game (1.2 of those at home) and Real Betis manage 1.6 (1.6 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 51%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 48%.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 53% of Levante's home games and 79% of Real Betis's away matches.
Levante need points desperately. Sitting 18th in the table, every match feels like a cup final now.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%) and 0-1 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Levante Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Real Betis Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Levante vs Real Betis kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:00 in the La Liga.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 47.9% probability.