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Three points on the line and a story to write. Gillingham host Luton.
Gillingham welcome Luton in the EFL Cup. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
B. Dack has been Gillingham's spearhead, with 7 goals and 1 assists in 41 appearances, averaging 0.56 shots on target per game. J. Clark has been Luton's main threat, with 12 goals and 3 assists in 37 appearances, averaging 0.68 shots on target per game.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Gillingham are scoring 1.3 a game (1.3 of those at home) and Luton manage 2.3 (2.3 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 51%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 48%.
Luton have goals in them (2.3 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Gillingham Win | @4.50 | 20.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.60 | 25.1% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Luton Win | @1.75 | 54.1% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.75 | 47.9% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.00 | 52.1% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.85 | 51.0% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.95 | 49.0% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.25 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.75 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.25 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.36 | - | Bet365 |
The bookmakers make Luton the favourite here. This league is new to our model, so we show the odds and an early read rather than a rated pick until we have built a verified record.
Best available odds: Gillingham @ 4.50, Draw @ 3.60, Luton @ 1.75. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Gillingham vs Luton kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 in the EFL Cup.