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The key duel: Leicester's attack against Northampton's back line.
A EFL Cup fixture between Leicester and Northampton. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Leicester will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Northampton travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickLeicester to win at @1.35. Model probability 64% vs implied 74%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
This league is new to our model. We have not yet built a verified record here, so treat this as an early read while we track it.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Leicester average 1.0 goals per game and Northampton manage 0.9. Combined that's just 1.9. We make it only 64% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 47%.
Neither defence inspires confidence. Both sides rarely keep clean sheets. Open, attacking football is on the cards.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Leicester Win | @1.35 | 63.9% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @4.80 | 19.6% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Northampton Win | @8.00 | 16.5% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.80 | 47.3% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @1.95 | 52.7% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.53 | 64.3% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.49 | 35.7% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.17 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @5.01 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.25 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.60 | - | Bet365 |
The bookmakers make Leicester the favourite here. This league is new to our model, so we show the odds and an early read rather than a rated pick until we have built a verified record.
Best available odds: Leicester @ 1.35, Draw @ 4.80, Northampton @ 8.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Leicester vs Northampton kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 in the EFL Cup.