01The read
Gent and Hibernian Promise Fireworks. Preview & Prediction
Gent 59%, the draw 21%, Hibernian 16%. That's the shape of this one.
Gent have won four of their last five; Hibernian have won three of their last five. Form gives little away going into this Europa Conference League tie.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickGent to win at @1.61. Model probability 59% vs implied 62%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key facts
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 63% of Gent's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
🎯
Goals Lean
We make it 56% for three or more goals in this one
▸ Form & goals
Hibernian have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average. Both sides are prolific in front of goal. Gent average 2.4 per game and Hibernian chip in with 2.0. Expect an open, attacking contest.
Goals look likely here. Gent average 2.4 per game (2.4 at home) and Hibernian chip in with 2.0 (2.5 away). Defensively, Gent concede 1.0 at home and Hibernian leak 1.5 on the road. We make it 56% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 49%.
▸ Team news & context
Gent are all-out attack: 2.4 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Hibernian, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Hibernian have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (2.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Gent HT
2.10
-
Draw HT
2.40
-
Hibernian HT
5.70
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Gent vs Hibernian Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Gent Win |
@1.61
|
58.9% |
1xBet |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@4.28
|
21.0% |
1xBet |
| Match Result |
Hibernian Win |
@6.10
|
16.4% |
Betano |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.78
|
49.0% |
Betano |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.01
|
51.0% |
Betano |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.75
|
55.7% |
Betano |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.26
|
44.3% |
Betano |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.24
|
- |
Betano |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@4.20
|
- |
Betano |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.80
|
- |
Betano |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.47
|
- |
Betano |
05The numbers
Gent vs Hibernian Team Stats
Gent
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Hibernian
Played
4
Record
1W-1D-2L
Goals F/A
8/8
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
Overall Form
WLLWW
Away Form
WWW
Away Record
1W-1D-0L
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
2-1
9.0%
3-1
6.6%
3-2
4.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
4-2
2.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 8 priced markets
-
Gent or Hibernian (double chance)
85%
@1.23
1xBet
-
Over 1.5 goals
83%
@1.24
Betano
-
Hibernian under 1.5 goals
83%
@1.26
Betano
-
Under 4 goals
83%
@1.20
1xBet
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
83%
@1.20
Betano
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
83%
@1.27
Betano
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
78%
@1.38
Betano
-
Gent under 2.5 goals
74%
@1.42
Betano
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