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Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Neck and neck in the MLS standings. FC Dallas (7th, 44 pts) host Austin (6th, 47 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.
L. Farrington has been FC Dallas's spearhead, with 7 goals and 2 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 0.67 shots on target per game. M. Uzuni has been Austin's main threat, with 6 goals and 0 assists in 18 appearances, averaging 1.00 shots on target per game.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
FC Dallas create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.8), leaving them -0.7 a game on the balance. Austin create 1.1 (giving up 1.9) for a balance of -0.8. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
FC Dallas average 1.5 goals per game and Austin manage 1.2. Combined that's just 2.7. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both sides are in the chasing pack. FC Dallas (7th) and Austin (6th) are still in touch with the playoff places, and a result here matters.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | FC Dallas Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Austin Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
FC Dallas vs Austin kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 01:30 in the MLS.