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DC United know what's at stake, and so do Nashville SC.
A MLS fixture between DC United and Nashville SC. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. DC United will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Nashville SC travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
DC United will be looking to make home advantage count (W2 D7 L8 at home). Nashville SC's away record reads W5 D3 L11. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Nashville SC have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
DC United create chances worth 1.0 a game (and give up chances worth 1.0), leaving them +0.1 a game on the balance. Nashville SC create 1.3 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of 0.0. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. A worry for DC United: the chances they're creating lately are worth 0.5 a game, well below their 1.0 season figure. The attacking output has dipped.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. DC United average 0.9 goals per game and Nashville SC manage 1.6. Combined that's just 2.5. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | DC United Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Nashville SC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
DC United vs Nashville SC kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.