CF Montreal vs New England Revolution Predictions & Odds
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CF Montreal are flying. New England Revolution arrive in their path.
CF Montreal welcome New England Revolution in the MLS. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. CF Montreal will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while New England Revolution travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. CF Montreal come in on a D-D-L-D-W run, New England Revolution have gone L-W-L-W-W, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. CF Montreal's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. Interestingly, CF Montreal look better than their results show. The quality of chances they create is worth 1.1 a game, but they're only converting 1.0 goals. They're creating more than the scoreline shows and look due a few more goals. CF Montreal have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 1.7 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 1.1. They're creating more as the season goes on.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
CF Montreal create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.8), leaving them -0.7 a game on the balance. New England Revolution create 1.6 (giving up 1.0) for a balance of +0.5. On the quality of chances, New England Revolution look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. CF Montreal should be scoring more. Their chances are worth 1.1 a game but they're only getting 1.0 goals. When the finishing clicks, they'll be a handful. CF Montreal are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 1.7 a game over the last 5 vs 1.1 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. CF Montreal average 1.0 goals per game and New England Revolution manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | CF Montreal Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | New England Revolution Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
CF Montreal vs New England Revolution kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.