Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough Predictions & Odds
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Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Crystal Palace have lost three of their last five; Middlesbrough have won three of their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this EFL Cup tie.
Interestingly, Crystal Palace look better than their results show. The quality of chances they create is worth 1.5 a game, but they're only converting 1.1 goals. They're creating more than the scoreline shows and look due a few more goals. Middlesbrough are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 2.0 against 1.6 actual goals). They look due a few more.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Crystal Palace create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them 0.0 a game on the balance. Middlesbrough create 2.0 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of +0.8. On the quality of chances, Middlesbrough look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Crystal Palace should be scoring more. Their chances are worth 1.5 a game but they're only getting 1.1 goals. When the finishing clicks, they'll be a handful. Middlesbrough are creating chances worth 2.0 a game but only finishing 1.6. the underlying performance is better than the results show.
Crystal Palace average 1.1 goals per game and Middlesbrough manage 1.6. Combined that's just 2.7. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Crystal Palace and Middlesbrough together create chances worth 3.5 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
In the last 8 meetings: Crystal Palace have won 4, Middlesbrough 3, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.1 goals per game. 4 of the last 8 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Middlesbrough 1-0 Crystal Palace, Crystal Palace 1-0 Middlesbrough, Middlesbrough 1-2 Crystal Palace.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Crystal Palace Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Middlesbrough Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 15:00 in the EFL Cup.